Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 60.438083 68.664403 77.134482 86.474183 96.451688 106.761142 118.188584
2025-05-04 47.184690 58.784415 71.338059 85.796264 101.857914 119.034564 138.675612
2025-05-11 38.995143 52.272118 67.202001 84.949446 105.206139 127.368828 153.220196
2025-05-18 33.606909 48.117092 64.990229 85.585929 109.612804 136.373774 168.065493
2025-05-25 28.733683 43.943346 62.217983 85.084694 112.294926 143.083406 180.026119
2025-06-01 25.101591 40.873758 60.408334 85.399556 115.653994 150.348380 192.435212
2025-06-08 21.457764 37.388382 57.759882 84.414841 117.236494 155.365408 202.102119
2025-06-15 19.289977 35.637857 57.114288 85.735384 121.457907 163.378714 215.176597
2025-06-22 17.451551 34.147001 56.654667 87.166721 125.721637 171.378863 228.195658
2025-06-29 15.050091 31.592689 54.593998 86.397531 127.149074 175.898364 237.039590
2025-07-06 12.527393 28.570203 51.679934 84.338174 126.818969 178.184560 243.136694
2025-07-13 11.929286 28.492063 52.813997 87.583142 133.163034 188.578347 258.942002
2025-07-20 10.954528 27.726700 52.946252 89.501317 137.866726 197.047746 272.556410
2025-07-27 9.400217 25.811049 51.298889 88.927833 139.316182 201.484459 281.294216
2025-08-03 7.955532 23.890278 49.505952 88.044418 140.278801 205.255722 289.177172
2025-08-10 7.025560 22.787595 48.863784 88.697387 143.206781 211.450213 300.004768
2025-08-17 5.955276 21.253913 47.451221 88.184989 144.539012 215.604508 308.306219
2025-08-24 5.167083 20.166485 46.663744 88.506653 146.940889 221.083647 318.227613
2025-08-31 4.241434 18.612299 45.014805 87.500841 147.501820 224.186481 325.181993
2025-09-07 3.794672 18.068572 44.991995 88.849641 151.232642 231.327976 337.158589
2025-09-14 3.406887 17.599537 45.059777 90.311403 155.107923 238.655379 349.377579
2025-09-21 2.761367 16.329668 43.667063 89.525889 155.860371 241.937961 356.523952
2025-09-28 2.058493 14.674824 41.468336 87.422529 154.720627 242.721453 360.494059